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Volatility Strategies for Black Swan events

Co-CIO of The Ambrus Group, delivering large returns during stock market crashes

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Who is Kris

Kris Sidial is Co-CIO and co-founder of The Ambrus Group, a firm focused on generating large returns during market crashes through volatility trading.  He grew up in Brentwood, NY, a town known for its rough socioeconomic and gang-ridden conditions.

The goal of his trading is to utilize the derivatives market to take asymmetric bets that pay out massively whenever unforeseen events occur, while simultaneously trading order flow to generate small returns whenever there is no volatility. 

Before starting Ambrus, Kris was a proprietary derivatives trader at multiple large institutions. After years of working on Wall Street, he realized that he could take this same style of derivatives trading and start a hedge fund. His belief was that many investors would be interested in investing in something like this, as it naturally protected their net worth from black swan events. 

Kris completed his undergraduate degree at Long Island University and then went on to attend a master's program at the University of Pennsylvania. 

Outside of finance, Kris is a Christian philanthropist, having donated seven figures to Christian ministries in 2025 alone. He is also an IBJJF gold medalist in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and a winner of multiple international opens, and has trained alongside elite athletes including Carlos Rosado (IBJJF Pan American Champion/Kasai Winner) and Gregor Gillespie (NCAA Champion / top 10 UFC fighter).

Kris is an avid horology enthusiast and watch collector, with an interest in brands such as Richard Mille, Patek Philippe, Audemars Piguet, and Franck Muller.

Highlights
Co-founded The Ambrus Group, a volatility-focused investment firm managing hundreds of millions in assets (~$800M AUM as of 2026).
Backed by very large institutions (Multi-strat, Pensions, Endowments, Family offices)
Ambrus was named the 2025 Volatility Hedge Fund of the Year by HFM
Ambrus was named Best Performing Fund (Volatility) by Hedge Fund Journal
Ambrus’ last 2-year performance is +53% net | +76% gross
Generated over 300%, which was roughly $560M in P&L during the most recent large economic downturn
Who is Kris

Kris Sidial is Co-CIO and co-founder of The Ambrus Group, a firm focused on generating large returns during market crashes through volatility trading.  He grew up in Brentwood, NY, a town known for its rough socioeconomic and gang-ridden conditions.

The goal of his trading is to utilize the derivatives market to take asymmetric bets that pay out massively whenever unforeseen events occur, while simultaneously trading order flow to generate small returns whenever there is no volatility. 

Before starting Ambrus, Kris was a proprietary derivatives trader at multiple large institutions. After years of working on Wall Street, he realized that he could take this same style of derivatives trading and start a hedge fund. His belief was that many investors would be interested in investing in something like this, as it naturally protected their net worth from black swan events. 

Kris completed his undergraduate degree at Long Island University and then went on to attend a master's program at the University of Pennsylvania. 

Outside of finance, Kris is a Christian philanthropist, having donated seven figures to Christian ministries in 2025 alone. He is also an IBJJF gold medalist in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and a winner of multiple international opens, and has trained alongside elite athletes including Carlos Rosado (IBJJF Pan American Champion/Kasai Winner) and Gregor Gillespie (NCAA Champion / top 10 UFC fighter).

Kris is an avid horology enthusiast and watch collector, with an interest in brands such as Richard Mille, Patek Philippe, Audemars Piguet, and Franck Muller.

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Media Appearances
Check out Kris's previous interviews and articles

Featured on Forbes

Sabas, Boaz Weinstein, Ambrus & Kris Sidial Discuss Their Unusual Tail Risk Strategies

Hedge fund managers discuss unconventional tail-risk strategies designed to protect portfolios during extreme market events, balancing downside protection with minimizing losses during normal market conditions.

Read full article on Forbes → ```

Featured on Nikkei Asia

“We’re complete outliers”: fund co-CIO has eye for market meltdowns

A hedge fund co-CIO explains a strategy built around rare but severe market crashes, focusing on tail-risk positioning and volatility spikes rather than predicting everyday market moves. The approach embraces being structurally positioned for extreme market dislocations.

Read full article on Nikkei Asia →

Featured on Business Insider

Volatility arbitrage: the hedge fund strategy built on market swings

A hedge fund CIO explains a volatility arbitrage approach that aims to profit from the gap between implied and realized volatility. The strategy does not bet on direction, but instead exploits mispricing in options and sharp volatility spikes during market stress events.

Read full article on Business Insider →
Topics
What Your Audience Could Learn
The Structural Flaw in Most Tail Risk Strategies

Kris Sidial believes most investors get risk wrong. They either don’t hedge tail risk enough, or they pay too much for protection that slowly loses money and becomes frustrating to hold. This leads to “hedge fatigue,” where investors abandon their protection after watching it underperform in calm markets, often right before markets actually crash.

His approach is more practical. Instead of treating tail risk hedging as a constant cost, Kris looks for ways to make it pay for itself. His philosophy aims to keep meaningful downside protection in place while using other strategies to generate returns that help offset its cost.

At Ambrus, the goal is to maintain real tail risk hedge protection for bad market events while using steady, repeatable trading strategies to help cover the cost and manage how that protection is funded and used. For Kris, it’s about staying protected without the hedge constantly draining money in normal markets, so it is still there when it is actually needed during periods of market stress.

Building The Ambrus Group: A Founder’s Take on Tail Risk

Kris Sidial’s journey to becoming Co-CIO of The Ambrus Group is rooted in a clear problem he saw across markets and institutions.

He got into trading through persistence and direct outreach, eventually breaking in after cold-calling a senior trader who gave him his first opportunity in the industry. From there, he built his foundation in volatility trading and learned how markets behave during periods of stress.

He trained under volatility traders focused on equity volatility, tail events, and market anomalies, before working across prop trading, buy-side investing, and an exotics and listed options desk at a large institution. Across these roles, he developed a deep understanding of how risk is priced, and often mispriced, across markets.

This experience led him to a consistent problem he saw in the industry: most tail risk approaches are either ignored or too costly to maintain over time. He co-founded The Ambrus Group to address this gap by building a more sustainable way to maintain tail risk protection while using trading strategies to help offset its cost.

How Tail Risk Events Really Happen in Modern Markets

Kris defines tail risk events as rare but severe market moves that can quickly cause large financial losses. While they don’t happen often, he emphasizes that when they do occur, they tend to come as sharp, sudden drops rather than gradual declines. This can include market crashes where indices fall 20% or more in a matter of days, or volatility spikes where prices move violently in both directions as panic sets in and liquidity disappears. 


Kris emphasizes that these events are often intensified by how modern markets are structured. When volatility rises, investors and institutions positioned the wrong way may be forced to adjust quickly, which can accelerate the move even further. In his view, this is why small shocks can quickly turn into much larger market swings. 

For investors, Kris believes the key risk is not day-to-day market movement, but being exposed when these rare events occur. He stresses that understanding these sharp moves, and planning for them in advance is essential for protecting portfolios when markets suddenly shift.

How Kris Sidial Approaches Volatility Trading in Modern Markets

Kris Sidial’s approach to volatility is shaped by experience across prop trading, buy-side investing, and institutional derivatives desks. He focuses on how volatility is priced in real markets, and how that pricing changes when liquidity shifts, positioning gets crowded, or hedging activity increases.

He pays attention to short-term inefficiencies in options markets, where prices can temporarily move away from underlying fundamentals due to supply and demand pressures rather than long-term value.

At Ambrus, this view is applied through strategies that look for mispricing across relative value, dispersion, and volatility dislocations. The goal is to identify where volatility is out of line across different parts of the market and trade that gap. It’s about understanding how volatility behaves in different conditions, and taking advantage when pricing moves out of balance.

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